The addition rule and mutually exclusive events

About this lesson

Integrated Math II › Applications of probability

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The addition rule and mutually exclusive events

Applications of probability. probability, conditional probability, independent events, tree diagrams

Warm-up

Three quick questions from earlier lessons.

Discover

In a deck of 52 cards, 13 are hearts and 4 are kings. How many cards are a heart or a king?

  1. 16
  2. 17

Key idea

Add, then remove the overlap.

General addition rule: P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A and B)P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \text{ and } B). If AA and BB are mutually exclusive (cannot both happen), P(A and B)=0P(A \text{ and } B) = 0 and P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B).

Worked example

P(heart or king).

1352+452−152\tfrac{13}{52} + \tfrac{4}{52} - \tfrac{1}{52}
Each part.
=1652=413= \tfrac{16}{52} = \tfrac{4}{13}
Simplify.

Your turn, guided

Your turn: P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.4, P(A and B) = 0.2. Find P(A or B).

0.70.7
0.5 + 0.4 − 0.2.

Practice ★

  1. In a class of 35 students, 12 are girls, 12 play soccer and 2 girls play soccer. A student is chosen at random. Find P(girl or soccer player).
  2. In a class of 34 students, 16 are girls, 10 play soccer and 4 girls play soccer. A student is chosen at random. Find P(girl or soccer player).
  3. In a class of 35 students, 19 are girls, 8 play soccer and 4 girls play soccer. A student is chosen at random. Find P(girl or soccer player).

Watch out!

Practice ★★

  1. Events A and B are mutually exclusive, with P(A) = 0.31 and P(B) = 0.24. Find P(A and B).
  1. A spinner lands on red with probability 0.21 and on blue with probability 0.32. Find P(red or blue).

Exit ticket

Three questions to check you have got it.

  1. In a class of 35 students, 12 are girls, 12 play soccer and 2 girls play soccer. A student is chosen at random. Find P(girl or soccer player).
  2. In a class of 34 students, 16 are girls, 10 play soccer and 4 girls play soccer. A student is chosen at random. Find P(girl or soccer player).
  3. In a class of 35 students, 19 are girls, 8 play soccer and 4 girls play soccer. A student is chosen at random. Find P(girl or soccer player).

Summary card

Addition rule

P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A and B)P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \text{ and } B); for disjoint events the last term is 0.

Watch out: disjoint is not the same as independent.

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