Warm-up
Three quick questions from earlier lessons.
Discover
A 95% interval for is (0.02, 0.10). What does it suggest about the two proportions?
- appears larger
- No difference
Key idea
Compare two groups with an interval for the difference.
; for means . If 0 is in the interval, "no difference" is plausible.
Worked example
, , .
0.0024 + 0.0025.
1.96 × 0.07.
: no convincing difference
0.1 ± 0.137 contains 0.
Your turn, guided
Your turn: variances of the two estimates are 0.0009 and 0.0016. The SE of the difference.
√0.0025.
Practice ★
- Two groups have sample means 90 and 58. What is the point estimate of μ₁ − μ₂?
- Independent samples of 100 give p̂₁ = 1/10 and p̂₂ = 6/10. Using z* = 1.96, find the margin of error for p₁ − p₂.
- Independent samples of 100 give p̂₁ = 3/10 and p̂₂ = 8/10. Using z* = 1.96, find the margin of error for p₁ − p₂.
Watch out!
Practice ★★
- A 95% interval for p₁ − p₂ is (−0.07, 0.08). What does it suggest?
- No convincing difference: 0 is a plausible value of p₁ − p₂
- p₁ is larger, since the upper end is positive
- It proves p₁ = p₂
Exit ticket
Three questions to check you have got it.
- Independent samples of 100 give p̂₁ = 1/10 and p̂₂ = 6/10. Using z* = 1.96, find the margin of error for p₁ − p₂.
- Independent samples of 100 give p̂₁ = 3/10 and p̂₂ = 8/10. Using z* = 1.96, find the margin of error for p₁ − p₂.
- Independent samples of 100 give p̂₁ = 7/10 and p̂₂ = 8/10. Using z* = 1.96, find the margin of error for p₁ − p₂.
Summary card
Intervals for differences
Estimate difference ± critical value × √(sum of variances).
Watch out: does the interval contain 0?