t intervals for a mean

About this lesson

Statistics (AP-aligned) › Confidence intervals

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t intervals for a mean

Confidence intervals.

Warm-up

Three quick questions from earlier lessons.

Discover

To estimate a mean we usually do not know σ, so we use the sample's ss. Does that add uncertainty?

  1. Yes: we use a slightly larger t critical value
  2. No: s is just as good as σ

Key idea

The one-sample t interval.

xˉ±t∗sn\bar{x} \pm t^*\dfrac{s}{\sqrt{n}}, with t∗t^* from the t distribution with n−1n - 1 degrees of freedom. Conditions: random sample; population roughly normal or nn large (about 30 or more), with no strong outliers for small nn.

Worked example

n=16n = 16, xˉ=50\bar{x} = 50, s=8s = 8, t∗=2.131t^* = 2.131 (15 df, 95%).

SE=2SE = 2
8/4.
ME=4.262ME = 4.262
2.131 × 2.
(45.738,54.262)(45.738, 54.262)
50 ± 4.262.

Your turn, guided

Your turn: n=9n = 9, s=6s = 6. The standard error.

22
6/√9.

Practice ★

  1. A random sample of 25 has standard deviation s = 16. With t* = 2.064 (24 df, 95%), find the margin of error for the mean.
  2. A random sample of 25 has standard deviation s = 13. With t* = 2.064 (24 df, 95%), find the margin of error for the mean.
  1. A one-sample t interval uses a sample of 5. How many degrees of freedom?

Watch out!

Practice ★★

  1. Why is a t critical value used for a confidence interval for a mean from a sample of 40?
    1. Because σ is estimated by s, which adds variability
    2. Because n is less than 1,000
    3. Because the data are skewed

Exit ticket

Three questions to check you have got it.

  1. A random sample of 25 has standard deviation s = 16. With t* = 2.064 (24 df, 95%), find the margin of error for the mean.
  2. A random sample of 25 has standard deviation s = 13. With t* = 2.064 (24 df, 95%), find the margin of error for the mean.
  3. A random sample of 25 has standard deviation s = 19. With t* = 2.064 (24 df, 95%), find the margin of error for the mean.

Summary card

t interval for μ

xˉ±t∗s/n\bar{x} \pm t^* s/\sqrt{n}, df =n−1= n - 1.

Watch out: t*, not z*, when σ is estimated.

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